• 0 Posts
  • 14 Comments
Joined 10 months ago
cake
Cake day: December 23rd, 2023

help-circle
  • There have not been any official Leopard1 deliveries for months now. We know for a fact, that there are a large number of Ukrainians officially being trained in Germany on them for what looks to be way too long and we also now that there are significantly more actually fully repaired and refurbished Leopard1s in Germany factories. There was no official delivery of Leopard1 for over four months now.

    Chances are that the list is incomplete. It is meant to show a lot of weapons are being send to Ukraine and is a good tool to miss lead Russia.









  • For anybody wondering. France has a strategy of strategic ambiguity. That means they always leave all options open, so they can change their minds and also have the enemy guessing. That is why their are no red lines. It is fundamentally against French strategy. However it does not mean that France sends soldiers to Ukraine or anything like that.

    A great example why it makes a lot of sense is Scholz. He was initially against sending Marder, Leopard, artillery and a lot more weapon systems, but later and not even too much later changed his mind. This did piss of countries like Poland and obviously Ukraine for no reason, create bad press and it means that Scholz saying no is somewhat of a temporary thing, which weakens his position in negotitations. If he had said that he has not decided to send those weapons to Ukraine, the entire time, then he would have had a lot less of an issue.

    So please do not read too much into this. For France what matters, is if they say they are going to do something., not maybes.





  • The decision of the Bundestag is not binding for the government. However some other parts of the decision:

    • officially aknowledging that Germany made a mistake in not using significantly more force when Russia invaded Georgia in 2008 and Ukraine in 2014
    • Ukraine has to win the war, which is very different language to Russia has to loose
    • using spelling of Ukranian locations in German in offical documents, rather then the still normal Russian spelling(okay not that important)
    • also I read a lot about it could mean Himars missiles instead of Taurus. The passage with the “long range weapons” thanks France and the UK for supplying SCALP, so it is basically as clear as it gets without saying Taurus.