It doesn’t matter how many long-range missiles we give to Ukraine. Those alone will not change any dynamic on the battlefield—any more than the previous entry of Western tanks, armored personnel carriers, artillery pieces, air defense weapons, HIMARS systems, or even the vaunted F16s. The war is lost for Kyiv.
RAND explained the key reason for the war here fairly honestly https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR3063.html
I’d argue that Europe decoupling economically from the east and falling further into US orbit was a secondary objective that’s now been achieved https://www.voronoiapp.com/trade/-US-Becomes-Leading-EU-Trade-Partner-Surpassing-China-and-Russia-3073
I like how they say their own research is Russian propaganda now.